Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.019780 0.023034 0.026625 0.030878 0.035772 0.041224 0.047755
2025-11-16 0.014898 0.019111 0.024193 0.030760 0.039002 0.048986 0.061981
2025-11-23 0.011371 0.015871 0.021737 0.029907 0.040951 0.055315 0.075363
2025-11-30 0.009635 0.014474 0.021220 0.031244 0.045679 0.065622 0.095149
2025-12-07 0.007978 0.012812 0.019972 0.031246 0.048428 0.073471 0.112533
2025-12-14 0.006481 0.011070 0.018259 0.030198 0.049357 0.078670 0.126595
2025-12-21 0.005476 0.009898 0.017187 0.029894 0.051257 0.085399 0.143622
2025-12-28 0.005015 0.009537 0.017337 0.031534 0.056410 0.097729 0.170848
2026-01-04 0.004503 0.008987 0.017065 0.032380 0.060280 0.108327 0.196351
2026-01-11 0.003834 0.008027 0.015909 0.031465 0.060902 0.113414 0.212910
2026-01-18 0.003353 0.007343 0.015152 0.031152 0.062523 0.120346 0.233374
2026-01-25 0.002879 0.006590 0.014143 0.030194 0.062771 0.124749 0.249600
2026-02-01 0.002485 0.005947 0.013277 0.029435 0.063377 0.130015 0.268318
2026-02-08 0.002208 0.005514 0.012781 0.029366 0.065354 0.138135 0.293476
2026-02-15 0.001913 0.004987 0.012000 0.028571 0.065710 0.143059 0.312788
2026-02-22 0.001805 0.004886 0.012155 0.029862 0.070692 0.157951 0.354129
2026-03-01 0.001625 0.004573 0.011772 0.029869 0.072831 0.167091 0.384308
2026-03-08 0.001410 0.004130 0.011010 0.028868 0.072536 0.170940 0.403444
2026-03-15 0.001260 0.003836 0.010568 0.028578 0.073857 0.178473 0.431488
2026-03-22 0.001217 0.003828 0.010854 0.030150 0.079849 0.197187 0.486755
2026-03-29 0.001141 0.003715 0.010845 0.030961 0.084057 0.212194 0.534933
2026-04-05 0.001005 0.003395 0.010232 0.030084 0.083886 0.216822 0.559048
2026-04-12 0.000906 0.003172 0.009851 0.029784 0.085167 0.225077 0.592739